All the ingredients for severe storms and tornadoes will be in place tomorrow afternoon and tomorrow evening across Louisiana, Mississippi, and western Alabama. This is the time to have a plan ready if a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning is issued in your area and to make sure you have multiple ways to get warnings […]
Severe Outbreak Potential: Texas And Western Louisiana Today
A significant severe weather outbreak is expected tomorrow over Louisiana and Mississippi. Today, I want to look at how the system is currently evolving over Texas and then I’ll have another post concerning the Louisiana and Mississippi severe potential later on this evening. So first off, looking at the surface observations in Texas. We have […]
Potent Severe Threat Early In The Week
Significant severe weather threat will materialize early in the week, with Tuesday presenting the potential for an outbreak across SE Louisiana and southern Mississippi.
So The Forecast Busted In Louisiana
You spend two days warning about hail, wind, and in detail about how there’s a tornado threat and then… Nothing. Not a single severe weather report in Louisiana last night. This is unquestionably a good thing, I’d prefer the weather not cause people harm or worse. All that said, I hate to raise people’s anxiety […]
Tornado Risk For The Northern Gulf Coast
A tornado risk will increase overnight as storms move into Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. The culprit will be increasing low level instability, though it isn’t all that impressive, but the low level shear could be enough to overcome and help mature updrafts in the low levels. As mentioned yesterday, the more widespread risk is for […]
Severe Weather (Again): Thursday Night
East Texas through southeastern Louisiana at risk Thursday night into Friday. Mississippi coast through the Panhandle gets into the action on Friday. Severe season continues with Thursday night and Friday morning looking a lot more interesting. I currently think the main risk is going to be gusty winds in thunderstorms. Large hail is also a […]
Tuesday Storms Yield To A Pleasant End Of The Week
Upper low will slowly translate east across the northern Gulf Coast on Tuesday, presenting the potential for severe weather through the day on Tuesday. The main threat appears to be hail, with very cold mid-level temperatures moving into the area with the upper low. There is not much instability available, but the far southeaster parishes […]
Severe Weather: New Orleans Thru The Panhandle (3/11/22)
A vigorous longwave through moving east across the plains today will serve to provide a severe threat across the northern Gulf Coast. Questions on instability remain, but there will be abundant shear available to organize storms and it will be increasing through the night. This means the severe threat will increase as you go east. […]
Severe 101(Part 1): What is CAPE?
During severe weather season, we’re looking for two main things. How much potential is there for an updraft to spin (shear) and how much buoyancy is available (instability) to have the air rise. Synoptic scale forcing is another piece of the puzzle but typically if you have a severe weather outbreak…you’ve got the forcing. CAPE […]
Severe Threat: Mobile and Coastal Mississippi Tonight (3/8)
Slight Risk (2/5) of severe storms along the central Gulf Coast tonight as warm front advances over the region ahead of disturbance. Near the warm front will have the strongest shear and warm moist air to give a little instability, so if there are to be severe storms I’d expect them near there. Image From […]