Thursday Nov 21, 2024

So The Forecast Busted In Louisiana

You spend two days warning about hail, wind, and in detail about how there’s a tornado threat and then… Nothing. Not a single severe weather report in Louisiana last night. This is unquestionably a good thing, I’d prefer the weather not cause people harm or worse. All that said, I hate to raise people’s anxiety […]

Tornado Risk For The Northern Gulf Coast

A tornado risk will increase overnight as storms move into Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. The culprit will be increasing low level instability, though it isn’t all that impressive, but the low level shear could be enough to overcome and help mature updrafts in the low levels. As mentioned yesterday, the more widespread risk is for […]

Severe Weather (Again): Thursday Night

East Texas through southeastern Louisiana at risk Thursday night into Friday. Mississippi coast through the Panhandle gets into the action on Friday. Severe season continues with Thursday night and Friday morning looking a lot more interesting. I currently think the main risk is going to be gusty winds in thunderstorms. Large hail is also a […]

Severe 101(Part 1): What is CAPE?

During severe weather season, we’re looking for two main things. How much potential is there for an updraft to spin (shear) and how much buoyancy is available (instability) to have the air rise. Synoptic scale forcing is another piece of the puzzle but typically if you have a severe weather outbreak…you’ve got the forcing. CAPE […]

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