Tropical Storm Ian enters the window to organize and strengthen quickly over the next few days. All the while models continue to disagree on track.
It’s Officially TD9, And The Models Are Targeting Florida
TD 9 has officially formed in the Eastern Caribbean. The West Coast of Florida is under the crosshairs as things stand today. This will also probably be a significant strike to the region.
98-L: The Model Madness Continues
98L continues to fight shear and work toward closing off into a tropical low. It also continues to befuddle the models. Trying to bring some clarity to the clear as mud modeling picture.
Getting To Know The Steering Players For Future Hermine
Today I dive into what this early shear, an upper low in the NW Caribbean, and the giant longwave trough over the eastern United States will mean for the future path of future Hermine.
Invest 98-L With High Chances of Development
98L, future Hermine, is facing shear in the near term that will keep it from developing quickly. Here, I’m just looking at the short range prospects and what it doesn’t mean for a potential United States landfall.
Y’all Need To Pay Attention To The Next Wave
The tropical wave following Hurricane Fiona has broad ensemble support for development. If it does develop, it has potential to enter the Gulf of Mexico as a major hurricane.
Tropical Storm Fiona Needs Watching For The East Coast
Tropical Storm Fiona is spinning over the Atlantic. It will cross the eastern Greater Antilles over the weekend and has a low end chance of United States impacts.
Danielle and Earl First Storms In Atlantic In Two Months
Danielle will decay over the open northern Atlantic this week. Earl will flex into a major hurricane by the weekend. Neither are any threat to land.
Expecting Danielle By The Weekend. Otherwise, Shear and Dry Air Dominate.
One realistic threat on the board, and it’s going to be a fish storm if it does form. Shear and dry air remain a challenge for any tropical waves.
Still Watching Caribbean For Tropical Development
Keeping an eye on the weak tropical wave in the Eastern Caribbean for possible, but not likely, development next week.