Lots of humidity. Upper level low. This makes for efficient rainmaking. Plus, some potential for a weak tropical disturbance to spin up.
Category: Tropical
Posts about tropical weather
Tropics Shutting Down For The Remainder Of July
The MJO moves into phase 5,6,7 in July. This will suppress tropical activity in the Atlantic for the rest of the month.
Very Active Late June In The Tropics
The tropics look more like August than June as Bonnie gets ready to form near the Windward Islands. Also watching storms in the Gulf for SE Texas flash flooding potential.
The Thermostat Turns Up More and Sneaky Tropical Potential.
July comes early with exceptional ridging over the eastern and eventually southern United States. Expect dangerous heat across all of the Southeast this week.
The First of the Atlantic Season. TS Alex Is Forming.
PTC 1, soon to be Tropical Storm Alex, is sitting off the tip of the Yucatan this afternoon. I expect it to be a sloppy storm, with most of the weather on the east side. It will bring potential for flooding in southern Florida.
Let’s Get Weird. Agatha In The East Pacific Will Be An Interesting One To Watch
Agatha will spend most of the weekend adrift before making landfall in Mexico on Monday. Significant strengthening is expected, with NHC forecasting 105 mph.
The 2022 NOAA Hurricane Forecast: Above Average Season To Come
NOAA put out a forecast calling for an active Atlantic hurricane season. I dive into the details, look at similar years to this one.
Discussing The Hurricane That Isn’t Happening, Again
The GFS keeps wanting to make a May hurricane in the Gulf. This is unrealistic and I break down why it does it and why it won’t actually happen.
In A Huge *NOT* Surprise, The May Hurricane Isn’t Happening
The Rundown I’m sure you’ve seen the model runs on Facebook. Heck, I’ve talked about it myself a couple of times now. The GFS, one of the primary weather models we use, has been trying to spin up a May hurricane for days now. This has been, in large part, due to biases the GFS […]
The Central American Gyre Is About To Get Going
The Central American Gyre could get going next week and potentially spin up a tropical system.